W8_APE_Jokowi Nomination as Indonesian President Candidate 2014


  1. Problem Definition

One of hot topic in every Indonesian newspaper is the next general election for Indonesian President 2014. Public interested on the Candidates and one of them is Jokowi as his name recently come to the surface. According to public pooling[1], his name today is on top compare with other senior political figures in Indonesia. Popular question in public is always about his leadership and capacity, as I want to use this topic in W8 blog connect it with Bruce Tuckman model.   

 Figure 1

Figure 1 Current Public Pooling

  1. Identify the Feasible Alternative

Forming, storming, norming, performing and adjourning are five stages of Tuckman organization evolution. Four of them except adjourning are the main driver with their leadership styles for each stage[2] present in Figure 2:   

Figure 2 

Figure 2 Four Leadership Styles for Organization Evolution

If we assume that Indonesian Country analog with one big organization, then we could see what kind of leadership style fit with our current condition (related with our next leader).      

  1. Development of the Outcome for Alternative

Our history gave good lesson and we should learn from it. Based on my understanding present in diagram below Indonesian organization evolution from our independence day until now:

Figure 3

Figure 3 Interpretation of Indonesia Historical Evolution

We could see from above diagram, Indonesia experienced many forming to storming period. Only two times we had stage of norming when we declared our independence day and during five years development package [known as “REPELITA”]. Today even the Incumbent doesn’t bring Indonesia higher to norming stage but down to storming stage again since people loss “their trust” to him. 

  1. Selection Criteria

Based on above section, during today storming stage Indonesia need a leader capacity to resolve conflict, focus on problem solution with high direction and more interaction with people as shown in Figure 2 above.  

  1. Analysis and Comparison of the Alternative

Now about Jokowi, is he the perfect leader for Indonesia today ? Quote his vision for leadership[3]: “A leader must have vision and fairness, tough and have integrity, focus and always close with the people in getting problem solution”. We can see from this statement that his leadership concept is completely fit with storming leader criteria as described before, and he already prove it during his assignment as DKI Governor.     

  1. Selection of the Preferred Alternative

Probably I will select Jokowi if his running as next candidate for the election. It doesn’t matter if others agree or disagree with my opinion.   

  1. Performance Monitoring and the Post Evaluation of Result

I understand that there is always bargaining in politics. In my opinion, his political party should be smart by gathering senior candidate such as Jusuf Kalla or Prabowo as Vice President. Together hopefully they can lead Indonesia to performing stage.

References

[1]nasional.kompas.com. (2013). Jika Jokowi Capres Siapa Cawapresnya. Retrieved from http://nasional.kompas.com/read/2013/08/26/1351521/

 [2]teamtechnology.co.uk. (2012). Leadership Using the Tuckman Model. Retrieved from http://teamtechnology.co.uk_tuckman.html.

 [3]jadiberita.com. (2013). 4 Resep Jadi Pemimpin Ala Jokowi. Retrieved from http://jadiberita.com/58252/4-resep-jadi-pemimpin-ala-jokowi/

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1 Comment

Filed under Arif P, Week 08

One response to “W8_APE_Jokowi Nomination as Indonesian President Candidate 2014

  1. Sorry Pak Arif…… Not only is your case study pretty weak, at least in the context of cost engineering, but Tuckman’s assessment is not the appropriate tool to be using for this analysis.

    Tuckman is for us to determine what management style is appropriate for a given maturity of a TEAM. It would be almost impossible to determine what phase any COUNTRY is in……. I would hazard a guess that there are some factions in EVERY country which are in the forming, storming, norming, performing AND adjourning phases, which makes a large country so difficult to manage- as each sub-group requires a different management style.

    IF you want to use a political example, then what you COULD do is look at the historic COST of running for president over a long period of time (you could use the costs for US presidents) and then using that COST ESTIMATING MODEL predict what you think it will cost to run for president in Indonesia.

    Another approach would be to compare the candidates using a multi-objective analysis from Chapter 14. That would probably work. But to use Tuckman is the totally wrong tool.

    My suggestion on this one would be to abandon this case study and pick another one…… OR keep this case study and set it up using one of the multi objective analysis tools/techniques….?

    BR,
    Dr. PDG, Jakarta

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